Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.000147 0.000164 0.000182 0.000203 0.000226 0.000251 0.000280
2025-09-21 0.000125 0.000149 0.000175 0.000207 0.000245 0.000289 0.000343
2025-09-28 0.000108 0.000135 0.000168 0.000209 0.000261 0.000323 0.000405
2025-10-05 0.000094 0.000123 0.000159 0.000208 0.000272 0.000353 0.000464
2025-10-12 0.000085 0.000116 0.000156 0.000213 0.000290 0.000392 0.000538
2025-10-19 0.000077 0.000108 0.000151 0.000213 0.000302 0.000424 0.000605
2025-10-26 0.000069 0.000101 0.000146 0.000213 0.000313 0.000454 0.000672
2025-11-02 0.000062 0.000094 0.000140 0.000211 0.000320 0.000479 0.000734
2025-11-09 0.000058 0.000090 0.000137 0.000213 0.000332 0.000513 0.000809
2025-11-16 0.000052 0.000084 0.000131 0.000210 0.000337 0.000534 0.000869
2025-11-23 0.000048 0.000079 0.000127 0.000209 0.000344 0.000561 0.000939
2025-11-30 0.000045 0.000076 0.000125 0.000210 0.000355 0.000593 0.001018
2025-12-07 0.000041 0.000071 0.000120 0.000208 0.000361 0.000619 0.001092
2025-12-14 0.000039 0.000069 0.000119 0.000211 0.000376 0.000661 0.001197
2025-12-21 0.000037 0.000066 0.000117 0.000212 0.000387 0.000698 0.001297
2025-12-28 0.000034 0.000063 0.000114 0.000211 0.000394 0.000726 0.001385
2026-01-04 0.000032 0.000061 0.000114 0.000216 0.000412 0.000777 0.001518
2026-01-11 0.000031 0.000059 0.000111 0.000216 0.000422 0.000814 0.001627
2026-01-18 0.000029 0.000057 0.000109 0.000216 0.000431 0.000849 0.001736
2026-01-25 0.000027 0.000054 0.000106 0.000214 0.000436 0.000876 0.001832
2026-02-01 0.000025 0.000052 0.000104 0.000215 0.000448 0.000919 0.001963
2026-02-08 0.000024 0.000049 0.000101 0.000212 0.000450 0.000941 0.002053
2026-02-15 0.000022 0.000048 0.000099 0.000211 0.000457 0.000974 0.002168